NLCS preview: Dodgers enter rematch against Cubs with more favorable stats, but L.A. declining since midseason, while Chicago is rising

The 2017 National League Championship Series is a rematch of the 2016 series between the Chicago Cubs and the Los Angeles Dodgers. But this year, the tables are turned.

Last year, the Cubs were kings, leading Box-Toppers team rankings in 2016 almost wire-to-wire, and coming into their NLCS matchup against the Dodgers holding practically every advantage. This year, they’ve scraped together their success with a pitching staff that is little more than half as good as it was when it led them to a World Series title in 2016.

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ALCS preview: Astros rank higher in Box-Toppers team rankings, but Yankees may hold pitching edge

The Houston Astros rank higher in Box-Toppers team rankings, though the New York Yankees hold an advantage in starting pitching and top-10 ranked players as they face off in the American League Championship Series starting Friday.

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NLCS Preview: Cubs seem to have the advantages over the Dodgers—but these are the Cubs

Cubs rank higher in Box-Toppers team rankings, its four starters rank among the top 10 NL pitchers, they have Kris Bryant. Dodgers have Kershaw who they needed for each NLDS win. 

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ALCS Preview: Though Indians rank higher in Box-Toppers rankings, Blue Jays have chance because of key Tribe injuries

Indians rank higher than the Blue Jays in Box-Toppers team rankings, but two pitchers who got them ranked so highly—Danny Salazar and Carlos Carrasco—are not available for the ALCS.

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NLCS Preview: Cubs have more Box-Toppers points, All-Stars, but comparing player-by-player, Mets may have an edge

Cubs lead Mets in Box-Toppers team rankings. Cubs have more All-Stars—3 to 1. Cubs have Box-Toppers Player of the Year Jake Arrieta. But position-by-position, Mets may have an edge.

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ALCS Preview: Blue Jays may have edge with bats, Price; but Royals may have overall pitching edge

The Royals have more team Box-Toppers points and possibly an overall pitching edge. But the Blue Jays have big bats led by Jose Bautista and top AL pitching ace, David Price.

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Rangers' Odor, Astros' Gregerson top players in pair of opening ALDS games for Thursday, Oct. 8

Rougned Odor of the Rangers and Luke Gregerson of the Astros are Box-Toppers Players of the Game in Thursday’s pair of American League Division Series openers.

Odor homered and scored three runs in the 5-3 win over the Blue Jays in Game 1 of the AL Division Series. The Rangers lead the best-of-five series, 1-0.

During the regular season, Odor earned 3.0 Box-Toppers points, 337th among all players, 76th among AL batters.

Blue Jays pitcher David Price, Box-Toppers’ fifth-ranked player, started the game and picked up the loss. Price (7IP 5H 5R 5K) had a Box-Toppers game score of −5. He had 21.1 Box-Toppers points for the season, ranked second among AL pitchers.

Astros closing pitcher Luke Gregerson is Player of the Game in the other AL Division Series Game 1. Gregerson picked up the save, pitching a scoreless ninth inning, allowing no hits and striking out two, in the 5-2 win over the Royals. The Astros lead the best-of-five series, 1-0.

Gregerson had 6.0 Box-Toppers points during the regular season, 150th among all players, 53rd among AL pitchers and sixth among AL closing pitchers.

Top player from each game

Listed from highest to lowest Box-Toppers game score

10/8 Score Team BATTERS AB R H BI BB K IP H R ER BB K
POG 3.0 Rangers Rougned Odor, 2B 2 3 1 1 0 0 - - - - - -
POG 3.0 Astros Luke Gregerson (S,1) - - - - - - 1.0 0 0 0 0 2

Coming Friday: The National League Division Series playoffs begin with two Game 1s and the American League Division Series resume with two Game 2s:

AL Division Series Game 2, Rangers lead Blue Jays, 1-0

The pitching matchup Friday:

Rangers—Cole Hamels, 15.4 Box-Toppers points, 15th among all players, eighth among AL pitchers.

Blue Jays—Marcus Stroman, 2.7 Box-Toppers points, 368th among all players, 105th among AL pitchers. (Stroman was out recovering from injury much of 2015. In 2014, he had 13.7 Box-Toppers points, ranked 12th among AL pitchers.)

See the season Box-Toppers point totals of all Rangers and Blue Jays players who earned Player of the Game honors in 2015.

AL Division Series Game 2, Astros lead Royals, 1-0

The pitching matchup Friday:

Astros—Scott Kazmir, 12.7 Box-Toppers points, 26th among all players, 14th among AL pitchers, 

Royals—Johnny Cueto, 12.8 Box-Toppers points, 25th among all players, 13th among AL pitchers.

See the season Box-Toppers point totals of all Astros and Royals players who earned Player of the Game honors in 2015.

NL Division Series Game 1, Cubs at Cardinals

Though the Chicago Cubs are the Wild Card team and have a lesser win-loss record than the NL Central champ St. Louis Cardinals, they have an edge in Box-Toppers team rankings. The Cubs passed the Cardinals in the final 10 days of the season to rank third in Box-Toppers team points with 127.4. The Cardinals, with baseball’s best record, rank fourth with 124.3. The Cubs surged at the end of the season, earning 11.0 Box-Toppers points in the final 10 days of the season. The Cardinals, by comparison, picked up only 3.5 during that period.

The two teams are the highest ranked NL teams remaining in the playoffs after the Cubs knocked off the top-rated Pittsburgh Pirates (129.6) in the NL Wild Card playoff.

The pitching matchup Friday:

Cubs—Jon Lester, 12.0 Box-Toppers points, 28th among all players, 13th among NL pitchers.

Cardinals—John Lackey, 9.7 Box-Toppers points, 51st among all players, 21st among NL pitchers.

Cubs vs. Cardinals

Here are players for both teams in the NL Divisional Series beginning Friday. Players are listed for both teams ranked by Box-Toppers points earned in 2015. All players listed were on active Major or Minor League rosters at the end of the season—not necessarily all of them will be included on postseason rosters.  

Chicago Cubs St. Louis Cardinals
Player Pos BTP Player Pos BTP
Arrieta, Jake 2738 pi sp 29.1 Martinez, Carlos 3371 pi sp 13.7
Lester, Jon 2173 pi sp 12.0 Lynn, Lance 2992 pi sp 11.4
Hammel, Jason 2235 pi sp 9.7 Lackey, John 1640 pi sp 9.7
Hendricks, Kyle 3386 pi sp 9.7 Wacha, Michael 3276 pi sp 9.7
Rizzo, Anthony 3063 1b 8.5 Grichuk, Randal 3474 rf lf cf 9.5
Bryant, Kris 3465 3b 8.5 Garcia, Jaime 2508 pi sp 9.4
Montero, Miguel 2304 ca 5.5 Rosenthal, Trevor 3124 pi cp 6.0
Haren, Danny 1787 pi sp 5.0 Carpenter, Matt 2987 3b 5.5
Schwarber, Kyle 3536 lf ca 5.0 Moss, Brandon 2520 rf lf 5.0
Castro, Starlin 2767 ss 2b 4.5 Piscotty, Stephen 3570 lf rf 1b 4.2
Wada, Tsuyoshi 3389 pi sp 3.7 Wong, Kolten 3377 2b 4.0
Soler, Jorge 3403 rf ph 3.2 Reynolds, Mark 2297 1b 4.0
Wood, Travis 2777 pi sp 3.0 Siegrist, Kevin 3260 pi mr 4.0
Fowler, Dexter 2698 cf 2.5 Villanueva, Carlos 2241 pi mr cp 3.7
Russell, Addison 3559 ss 2.5 Wainwright, Adam 2150 pi sp 3.0
Jackson, Austin 2694 cf 2.0 Lyons, Tyler 3178 pi sp 3.0
Rondon, Hector 3201 pi cp 2.0 Adams, Matt 3220 1b ph 2.5
Strop, Pedro 3005 pi mr 2.0 Maness, Seth 3362 pi cp mr 2.0
Coghlan, Chris 2610 lf 1.0 Kozma, Pete 3138 2b pr 2.0
Rodney, Fernando 1803 pi cp mr 1.0 Scruggs, Xavier 3514 1b 2.0
Cahill, Trevor 2658 pi mr 1.0 Holliday, Matt 1836 lf dh 1.5
Hunter, Tommy 2623 pi mr 1.0 Pham, Thomas 3596 lf cf 1.5
Grimm, Justin 3153 pi mr 1.0 Cishek, Steve 2997 pi cp 1.0
Richard, Clayton 2584 pi sp 1.0 Bourjos, Peter 2790 cf ph 1.0
Motte, Jason 2926 pi mr 1.0 Garcia, Greg 3331 ph 1.0
Beeler, Dallas 3528 pi sp 1.0 Molina, Yadier 1967 ca 1.0
Ramirez, Neil 3439 pi mr 1.0 Walden, Jordan 2864 pi mr 1.0
Broxton, Jonathan 2108 pi mr 1.0
Socolovich, Miguel 3456 pi cp 1.0
Totals 127.4 Totals 124.3
What are those numbers after players' names?

NL Division Series Game 1, Mets at Dodgers

In Box-Toppers team rankings, the Dodgers and the Mets are almost identical.

The Dodgers hold the slight edge, ranking sixth among all teams, with 122.5 Box-Toppers points. But the Mets are only 0.5 points behind, with 122.0, ranking seventh among all teams. During the final 10 days of the season, the Dodgers picked up 6.0 Box-Toppers points, while the Mets earned 4.7.

The pitching matchup Friday:

Mets—Jacob deGrom, 22.4 Box-Toppers points, third among all players, third among NL pitchers.

Dodgers—Clayton Kershaw, 25.7 Box-Toppers points, second among all players, second among NL pitchers.

Mets vs. Dodgers

Here are players for both teams in the NL Divisional Series beginning Friday. Players are listed for both teams ranked by Box-Toppers points earned in 2015. All players listed were on active Major or Minor League rosters at the end of the season—not necessarily all of them will be included on postseason rosters.  

New York Mets Los Angeles Dodgers
Player Pos BTP Player Pos BTP
deGrom, Jacob 3343 pi sp 22.4 Kershaw, Clayton 2494 pi sp 25.7
Harvey, Matt 3075 pi sp 15.4 Greinke, Zack 1871 pi sp 20.7
Cespedes, Yoenis 3008 lf cf 10.9 Wood, Alex 3246 pi sp 7.7
Syndergaard, Noah 3472 pi sp 10.4 Ethier, Andre 2137 rf lf 6.5
Familia, Jeurys 3446 pi cp 8.0 Anderson, Brett 2597 pi sp 6.0
Colon, Bartolo pi sp 6.7 Bolsinger, Mike 3318 pi sp 5.7
Niese, Jonathon 2531 pi sp 6.0 Gonzalez, Adrian 2193 1b 4.0
Granderson, Curtis 2051 rf 4.0 Jansen, Kenley 2871 pi cp 4.0
Nieuwenhuis, Kirk 3022 cf rf lf ph 4.0 Kendrick, Howie 2191 2b 4.0
Matz, Steven 3516 pi sp 3.5 Van Slyke, Scott 3033 cf lf 1b 4.0
Uribe, Juan 1542 3b ph 3.0 Turner, Justin 2865 2b 3b ph 4.0
Verrett, Logan 3518 pi mr 3.0 Puig, Yasiel 3193 rf 3.5
Robles, Hansel 3580 pi mr 2.7 Guerrero, Alex 3442 lf ph 3.5
Duda, Lucas 2818 1b 2.5 Rollins, Jimmy 1516 ss 3.0
d’Arnaud, Travis 3384 ca 2.5 McCarthy, Brandon 2082 pi sp 2.0
Flores, Wilmer 3345 ss 2b 2.5 Grandal, Yasmani 3058 ca 1b 2.0
Tejada, Ruben 2801 ss 2.0 Ruggiano, Justin 2396 lf ph 2.0
Johnson, Kelly 2018 lf 1b 2.0 Frias, Carlos 3434 pi sp 2.0
Murphy, Daniel 2589 2b 1.5 Johnson, Jim 2417 pi mr 2.0
Gee, Dillon 2808 pi sp 1.0 Thomas, Ian 3539 pi sp 1.7
Lagares, Juan 3243 cf ph 1.0 Seager, Corey 3587 ss 1.5
Cuddyer, Michael 1826 lf 1b 1.0 Heisey, Chris 2866 cf rf 1.0
Reed, Addison 3023 pi mr cp 1.0 Nicasio, Juan 2888 pi sp 1.0
Torres, Carlos 2668 pi mr 1.0 Hatcher, Chris 3420 pi cp 1.0
Blevins, Jerry 2788 pi mr 1.0 Howell, J.P. 2016 pi mr 1.0
Clippard, Tyler 2291 pi cp 1.0 Garcia, Yimi 3440 pi cp 1.0
Gilmartin, Sean 3500 pi mr 1.0 Hernandez, Enrique 3541 ph 1.0
Monell, Johnny 3463 ph 1.0 Ravin, Josh 3501 pi mr 1.0
Total 122.0 Total 122.5
What are those numbers after players' names?

About Box-Toppers—Box-Toppers tracks who most helps their team win the most games. Using standard box score statistics, Box-Toppers uses a simple formula to determine a Player of the Game for each Major League Baseball game played. That player is the person who contributed most to his team’s win. In regular season games, players earn 1.0 Box-Toppers point for being named Player of the Game and can earn bonus points for being Player of the Day or top player or batter in their league for the day.

 

 

Box-Toppers points leader Jake Arrieta tops players as Cubs beat Pirates in NL Wild Card Game

Cubs pitcher Jake Arrieta is Box-Toppers Player of the Day in Wednesday’s National League Wild Card game.

Arrieta pitched a complete game shutout, striking out 11 and allowing four hits, in the 4-0 win over the Pirates.

Arrieta led all players during the regular season with 29.1 Box-Toppers points, the eighth-highest single-season total since 1995. He outdueled Pirates pitcher Gerrit Cole, who had 19.0 Box-Toppers points during the regular season, ninth among all players and sixth among NL pitchers. Cole (5IP 6H 4R 4K L) had a Box-Toppers game score of -6.

The Pirates’ loss means the top-ranked team in Box-Toppers rankings is eliminated from the playoffs. The Pirates had 129.6 Box-Toppers points on the season. The Cubs, rank third with 127.4, are now the top-ranked NL team remaining in the playoffs.

The Cubs carried more momentum into the postseason, picking up 11.0 Box-Toppers points in the final 10 days of the season. The Pirates, by comparison, had 5.5 during that period.

The Cubs will face face the St. Louis Cardinals in the best-of-five NL Divisional Series beginning Friday in St. Louis. The Cardinals have baseball’s best record, but rank fourth in Box-Toppers team rankings, behind both the Cubs and Pirates, with 124.3 Box-Toppers points.

Top player from NL Wild Card Game

10/7 Score Team Player AB R H BI BB K IP H R ER BB K
POG 16.0 Cubs Jake Arrieta (W,1-0) - - - - - - 9.0 4 0 0 0 11

Coming Thursday: The American League begins both division playoff series Thursday.

AL Division Series Game 1, Rangers at Blue Jays

The Blue Jays rank fifth in Box-Toppers team rankings with 124.1 Box-Toppers points. The Rangers rank 10th with 107.2. In the final 10 days of the season, the Blue Jays picked up 6.5 Box-Toppers points, while the Rangers earned 5.7

The pitching matchup Thursday:

Rangers—Yovani Gallardo, 5.0 Box-Toppers points, ranked 176th among all players, 62nd among AL pitchers.

Blue Jays—David Price, 21.1 Box-Toppers points, ranked fifth among all players, second among AL pitchers.

Rangers vs. Blue Jays

Here are players for both teams in the AL Division Series beginning Thursday. Players are listed for both teams ranked by Box-Toppers points earned in 2015. All players listed were on active Major or Minor League rosters at the end of the season—not necessarily all of them will be included on postseason rosters.  

Texas Rangers Toronto Blue Jays
Player Pos BTP Player Pos BTP
Hamels, Cole 2135 pi sp 15.4 Price, David 2593 pi sp 21.1
Beltre, Adrian 1141 3b 12.5 Encarnacion, Edwin 2098 dh 10.4
Fielder, Prince 2029 dh 11.5 Bautista, Jose 2169 rf 10.0
Lewis, Colby 1567 pi sp 7.7 Donaldson, Josh 3144 3b 9.9
Moreland, Mitch 2799 1b 6.2 Hutchison, Drew 3038 pi sp 9.0
Tolleson, Shawn 3077 pi cp 6.0 Estrada, Marco 2847 pi sp 8.0
Gallardo, Yovani 2333 pi sp 5.0 Tulowitzki, Troy 2308 ss 6.0
Napoli, Mike 2161 1b 4.5 Dickey, R.A. 1734 pi sp 5.0
Choo, Shin-Soo 2267 rf 4.5 Martin, Russell 2202 ca 5.0
DeShields, Delino 3557 cf 4.5 Smoak, Justin 2731 1b 5.0
Hamilton, Josh 2332 lf dh ph 3.5 Goins, Ryan 3478 ss 2b 4.5
Chirinos, Robinson 2924 ca 3.5 Osuna, Roberto 3512 pi cp 4.0
Odor, Rougned 3336 2b 3.0 Pillar, Kevin 3486 cf 3.5
Holland, Derek 2634 pi sp 2.7 Travis, Devon 3436 2b 3.0
Martinez, Nick 3430 pi sp 2.0 Stroman, Marcus 3327 pi sp 2.7
Dyson, Sam 3399 pi mr cp 2.0 Buehrle, Mark 1407 pi sp 2.0
Patton, Spencer 3416 pi mr 2.0 Colabello, Chris 3235 lf dh 1b 2.0
Gonzalez, Chi Chi 3490 pi sp 1.7 Sanchez, Aaron 3392 pi sp 2.0
Blanks, Kyle 2661 1b 1.5 Cecil, Brett 2566 pi cp mr 2.0
Gallo, Joey 3485 3b 1.5 Pennington, Cliff 2641 ss 3b 2.0
Perez, Martin 3213 pi sp 1.0 Navarro, Dioner 2087 ca 1.0
Gimenez, Chris 2870 ca 1.0 Revere, Ben 2886 lf 1.0
Ohlendorf, Ross 2457 pi mr 1.0 Loup, Aaron 3146 pi mr cp 1.0
Claudio, Alex 3459 pi mr 1.0 Hendriks, Liam 3339 pi mr 1.0
Klein, Phil 3477 pi sp 1.0 Delabar, Steve 3020 pi mr 1.0
Strausborger, Ryan 3560 lf 1.0 Carrera, Ezequiel 2873 lf ph 1.0
Pompey, Dalton 3450 cf 1.0
Total 107.2 Total 124.1

AL Division Series Game 1, Astros at Royals

The Royals have the most Box-Toppers team points in the AL with 127.5, ranked second overall, behind the Pittsburgh Pirates. The Astros rank eighth with 118.4. In the final 10 days of the season, the Astros were slightly hotter than the Royals—7.9 vs. 6.0.

The pitching matchup Thursday:

Astros—Collin McHugh, 9.7 Box-Toppers points, ranked 49th among all players, 19th among AL pitchers.

Royals—Yordano Ventura, 11.7 Box-Toppers points, ranked 30th among all players, 15th among AL pitchers.

Astros vs. Royals

Here are players for both teams in the AL Division Series beginning Thursday. Players are listed for both teams ranked by Box-Toppers points earned in 2015. All players listed were on active Major or Minor League rosters at the end of the season—not necessarily all of them will be included on postseason rosters.  

Houston Astros Kansas City Royals
Player Pos BTP Player Pos BTP
Keuchel, Dallas 3050 pi sp 21.4 Cueto, Johnny 2400 pi sp 12.8
Kazmir, Scott 1947 pi sp 12.7 Ventura, Yordano 3294 pi sp 11.7
McHugh, Collin 3316 pi sp 9.7 Hosmer, Eric 2886 1b 9.0
Correa, Carlos 3506 ss 7.2 Cain, Lorenzo 3171 cf 8.2
Fiers, Michael 3029 pi sp 7.0 Young, Chris R. 1933 pi sp 8.0
Altuve, Jose 3007 2b 7.0 Holland, Greg 2906 pi cp 8.0
McCullers, Lance 3488 pi sp 6.7 Moustakas, Mike 2967 3b 7.7
Gomez, Carlos 2397 cf 6.0 Volquez, Edinson 2220 pi sp 7.0
Rasmus, Colby 2608 lf rf cf 6.0 Rodriguez, Wandy 2117 pi sp 6.7
Gregerson, Luke 2563 pi cp 6.0 Infante, Omar 1949 2b 5.2
Valbuena, Luis 2600 3b 4.5 Morales, Kendrys 2142 dh 4.7
Gattis, Evan 3179 dh 4.0 Perez, Salvador 2972 ca 4.5
Harris, Will 3093 pi mr cp 3.7 Gomes, Jonny 2059 lf rf 4.5
Qualls, Chad 1958 pi mr cp 3.0 Gordon, Alex 2328 lf 4.5
Lowrie, Jed 2437 ss dh 2.5 Duffy, Danny 2915 pi sp 4.0
Feldman, Scott 2632 pi sp cp 2.0 Davis, Wade 2681 pi cp 4.0
Marisnick, Jake 3428 cf 2.0 Escobar, Alcides 2663 ss 3.5
Tucker, Preston 3525 rf lf 2.0 Rios, Alex 1989 rf 2.5
Carter, Chris 2828 dh 1.0 Guthrie, Jeremy 2290 pi sp 2.0
Springer, George 3337 rf 1.0 Dyson, Jarrod 2813 cf pr 2.0
Fields, Josh 3247 pi mr 1.0 Medlen, Kris 2596 pi sp 2.0
Conger, Hank 2843 ca 1.0 Vargas, Jason 2055 pi sp 1.0
Oberholtzer, Brett 3244 pi sp 1.0 Morales, Franklin 2369 pi mr sp 1.0
Zobrist, Ben 2216 lf ss 1.0
Hochevar, Luke 2440 pi mr 1.0
Orlando, Paulo 3526 cf 1.0
Totals 118.4 Totals 127.5

About Box-Toppers—Box-Toppers tracks who most helps their team win the most games. Using standard box score statistics, Box-Toppers uses a simple formula to determine a Player of the Game for each Major League Baseball game played. That player is the person who contributed most to his team’s win. In regular season games, players earn 1.0 Box-Toppers point for being named Player of the Game and can earn bonus points for being Player of the Day or top player or batter in their league for the day.

ALCS Preview: Royals may have edge not because their pitching is strong, but because Orioles' pitching is weak

The Kansas City Royals may have an edge over the Baltimore Orioles in the American League Championship Series not because their pitching is so strong but because the Orioles pitching staff is comparatively weaker.

However, the Orioles have the overall higher Box-Toppers team ranking and have two outfielders on Box-Toppers end-of-season 2014 All-Star team. The best-of-seven game ALCS begins Friday in Baltimore.

Below are position-by-position match-ups of each player likely in the starting line-up for both teams, along with the highest-rated starting pitchers in Box-Toppers points, the top closing pitcher and an extra pitcher. Also listed are each player’s Box-Toppers points earned in 2014, along with their overall rank among all players.

The top pitcher for both teams, James Shields of the Royals, had 13.7 Box-Toppers points during the regular season, ranking 22nd among all players. The Orioles top pitcher is Bud Norris, with 10.7, ranked 51st among all players. Only three other teams in baseball had their top pitcher earn fewer Box-Toppers points than Norris:

• Padres, Ross Tyson, 9.7.

• Red Sox, Koji Uehara, 9.0.

• Rockies, Tyler Matzek, 4.7.

In fact, the Orioles are one of only two teams in baseball whose leader in Box-Toppers points was a batter—Adam Jones, with 11.5 points, ranked 40th among all players. (The other team was the Rockies—Troy Tulowitzki had 11.6 points.)

Matching up the four top starting pitchers from highest to lowest Box-Toppers points from both teams, the Royals have the edge each time (see the chart below). The Royals also have the edge in closers (Greg Holland with 7.0 over Zachary Britton with 6.0). The Royals also have the edge when matching up the next-highest rated pitcher (Jeremy Guthrie, 7.0 over Ubaldo Jimenez, 3.7). And one more thing, not included in the chart below—the Royals also have the AL’s top middle relief pitcher, Wade Davis, who has 7.0 Box-Toppers points.

The Orioles have the edge in overall Box-Toppers team rankings from 2014. They rank sixth among all teams with 113.4 Box-Toppers points, while the Royals are ranked 10th with 101.1 points—the Royals were the lowest ranked team that qualified for any of the four league division series. However, the Orioles will play the ALCS without suspended first baseman, Chris Davis, who earned 6.2 Box-Toppers points during the regular season.

The Orioles also have two players who will be on Box-Toppers end-of-season AL All-Star team. Adam Jones had the most Box-Toppers points among AL outfielders with 11.5. Nelson Cruz was second with 8.5. The Orioles also have the most notable batter (not included in the prospective starting line-up below) coming off the bench—Delmon Young with 5.5 Box-Toppers points.

However, looking at the prospective starting line-ups below, Royals batters have higher Box-Toppers point totals at five positions, while the Orioles are better in four. Also, adding up Box-Toppers points for the nine batters and six pitchers listed below, the Royals have the point total advantage—83.1 Box-Toppers points vs. 81.5.

Both teams were able to get a lot of bang for their buck this season, spending comparatively little and making it all the way to the ALCS. The Orioles had an opening day payroll of $107 million, ranking 15th among all teams. The Royals’ payroll of $92 million, ranked 19th.

ALCS Game 1, Royals at Orioles

The pitching matchup Friday:

Royals: James Shields, 13.7 Box-Toppers points, ranked 22nd among all players, 11th among AL pitchers.

Orioles: Chris Tillman, 6.0 Box-Toppers points, ranked 152nd among all players, 53rd among AL pitchers.

Box-Toppers tracks who most helps their team win the most games. Using standard box score statistics, Box-Toppers uses a simple formula to determine a Player of the Game for each Major League Baseball game played. That player is the person who contributed most to his team’s win. In regular season games, players earn 1.0 Box-Toppers point for being named Player of the Game and can earn bonus points for being Player of the Day or top player or batter in their league for the day.

AL Championship Series player comparisons

Likely starting players for the Royals and Orioles listed by position with their Box-Toppers point total (BTP) for the 2014 regular season and their overall player rank among all players

Pos Royals BTP Rank Orioles BTP Rank
1B Eric Hosmer 2.5 368 Steve Pearce 7.0 121
2B Omar Infante 4.0 243 Jonathan Schoop 2.5 395
SS Alicides Escboar 5.0 190 J.J. Hardy 4.2 236
3B Mike Moustakas 4.0 251 Ryan Flaherty 0 761
CA Salvador Perez 4.7 210 Caleb Joseph 2.0 470
CF Lorenzo Cain 2.0 421 Adam Jones 11.5 40
LF Alex Gordon 3.0 203 Alejandro De Aza 1.0 537
RF Norichika Aoki 2.0 443 Nick Markakis 3.0 320
DH Billy Butler 2.5 365 Nelson Cruz 8.5 77
SP James Shields 13.7 22 Bud Norris 10.7 51
SP Danny Duffy 10.0 58 Miguel Gonzalez 8.7 70
SP Yordano Ventura 8.7 75 Wei-Yin Chen 6.7 131
SP Jason Vargas 7.0 107 Chris Tillman 6.0 152
CP Greg Holland 7.0 106 Zachary Britton 6.0 161
PI Jeremy Guthrie 7.0 113 Ubaldo Jimenez 3.7 270

Box-Toppers recalls 2004's postseason, when Cards-Red Sox also met in World Series

Box-Toppers world series preview.png

With the Red Sox and the Cardinals matched up against each other for the fourth time in World Series history, let's take a Box-Toppers look back to the last time they faced off, in the 2004 Fall Classic. 

With nine years of separation, there aren't a lot of returning players from the previous Cards-Sox title bout—in fact, only two: 

  • Red Sox designated hitter David Ortiz.
  • Cardinals catcher Yadier Molina.

Ortiz had 10.7 Box-Toppers points during the 2004 regular season, his best at the time and was Player of the Game in two postseason contests—once in Game 4 of the American League Championship Series against the Yankees and once in Game 1 of the World Series against the Cardinals. This season, Ortiz had 12.4 Box-Toppers points and has already been Player of the Game in Game 2 of the ALCS vs. the Tigers.

Molina was in his first year with the Cardinals in 2004 and had only 1.0 Box-Toppers point. He was playing behind then-starting catcher (now Cardinals manager) Mike Matheny. This season, Molina has 4.0 Box-Toppers points. 

One other current Cardinal player did play a prominent role in 2004's postseason. Carlos Beltran, then of the Astros, was twice Player of the Game during the National League Division series, as the Astros defeated the Braves, three games to two. The Astros lost to the Cardinals in the NLCS, four games to three. 

The 2004 postseason was also notable because it was the first and only time a team with a 3-0 game deficit in a best-of-seven series came back to win it 4-3. That was the Red Sox, beating the Yankees in the ALCS, sparked by Ortiz' Game 4 performance. Ortiz hit a walk-off, 12th-inning, two-run home run to beat the Yankees 6-4. The Sox then trailed that series three games to one.

The 2004 postseason was also notable because it was the first time the Red Sox had won the World Series since 1918—a span of 86 years. The Red Sox went on to sweep the Cardinals in the Fall Classic. Then-Cards stars like Albert Pujols, who contributed to St. Louis wins in the first two rounds of the postseason, were shut out from even once earning Box-Toppers Player of the Game honors during the World Series. However, Ortiz was joined by three other arguably legendary Red Sox as Player of the Game in the other three World Series victories: 

  • Game 1: Ortiz, who has 126.4 Box-Toppers points for his career, ranked 24th all-time (since 1995 when Box-Toppers record-keeping began).
  • Game 2: Pitcher Curt Schilling, who had 21.0 Box-Toppers points in 2004 and has 194.1 since 1995, ranked third on the all-time (since 1995) list.  
  • Game 3: Pitcher Pedro Martinez, who had 17.1 Box-Toppers points in 2004 and has 244.8 since 1995, ranked second on the all-time (since 1995) list, behind only Randy Johnson (278.8). 
  • Game 4: Pitcher Derek Lowe, who had a career-low 1.0 Box-Toppers point in 2004, but has 91.5 for his career, ranked 82nd on the all-time list. 

2004 League Division Series Box-Toppers results 

Here are Box-Toppers Players of the Games for each of the league division series games played in 2004. Games are listed by day. The Red Sox beat the Angels 3-0. The Yankees beat the Twins 3-1. The Cardinals beat the Dodgers 3-1. The Astros beat the Braves 3-2.

2004ScoreTeamBATTERSABRHRBIBBSO--PITCHERSIPHRERBBSO
Oct 5                  
MLB2.0Red Sox Manny Ramirez lf522301   0.000000
NL2.0Cardinals Larry Walker rf422202   0.000000
 2.0Twins 000000  Johan Santana (W, 1-0)7.090015
Oct 6                  
MLB5.0Astros Carlos Beltran cf333200   0.000000
AL3.1Red Sox 0000000  Keith Foulke (S, 1)1.100002
BAT3.0Yankees Alex Rodriguez 3b624300   0.000000
Oct 7                  
MLB4.0`Braves  000000  John Smoltz3.000023
BAT3.0Cardinals Edgar Renteria ss433100   0.000000
Oct 8                  
MLB4.0`Red Sox  000000  Bronson Arroyo6.032227
BAT1.0Yankees Derek Jeter ss503300   0.000000
Oct 9                  
MLB7.0Dodgers  000000  Jose Lima (W, 1-0)9.050014
NL3.0Astros  000000  Brad Lidge (S, 1)1.000002
BAT2.0Yankees Ruben Sierra dh412310   0.000000
Oct 10                  
MLB3.0Cardinals Albert Pujols 1b412410   0.000000
 2.0Braves Adam LaRoche 1b311311   0.000000
Oct 11                  
MLB7.0Astros Carlos Beltran cf534500   0.000000

2004 League Championship Series Box-Toppers results 

Here are Box-Toppers Players of the Games for each of the league championship series games played in 2004. The Red Sox beat the Yankees 4-3. The Cardinals beat the Astros 4-3.

2004ScoreTeamBATTERSABRHRBIBBSO--PITCHERSIPHRERBBSO
Oct 12                  
MLB5.0YankeesHideki Matsui lf523500   0.000000
Oct 13                  
MLB4.0Yankees 0000000  Jon Lieber (W, 1-0)7.031113
NL3.0Cardinals Albert Pujols 1b322221   0.000000
Oct 14                  
MLB3.0Cardinals Scott Rolen 3b422301   0.000000
Oct 16                  
MLB9.0Yankees Hideki Matsui lf655500   0.000000
NL5.0Astros 0000000  Brad Lidge (S, 2)2.010015
Oct 17                  
MLB4.0Astros Lance Berkman, RF212320         
AL2.0Red Sox David Ortiz, DH512411         
Oct 18                  
MLB9.0`Astros          Brandon Backe8.010024
AL5.0Red Sox          Tim Wakefield (W,1-0)3.010014
Oct 19                  
MLB5.0Red Sox          Curt Schilling (W,2-1)7.041104
Oct 20                  
MLB5.0Red Sox Johnny Damon cf623600   0.000000
NL4.0Cardinals  000000  Julian Tavarez (W, 2-1)2.000002
Oct 21                  
MLB4.0Cardinals  000000  Jeff Suppan (W, 2-1)6.032126

2004 World Series Box-Toppers results 

Here are Box-Toppers Players of the Games for each of the World Series games played in 2004. The Red Sox beat the Cardinals 4-0.

2004ScoreTeamBATTERSABRHRBIBBSO--PITCHERSIPHRERBBSO
Oct 23                  
MLB4.0Red Sox David Ortiz, DH312420   0.000000
Oct 24                  
MLB4.0Red Sox  000000  Curt Schilling (W, 1-0)6.041014
Oct 26                  
MLB8.0Red Sox  000000  Pedro Martinez (W, 1-0)7.030026
Oct 27                  
MLB7.0Red Sox  000000  Derek Lowe (W, 1-0)7.030014

In the first column of each chart, the designation MLB indicates Player of the Day, AL or NL indicates Player of the Day in the opposite league and BAT indicates the player was the top batter of the day in his league. Usually, top players of the game receive 1.0 Box-Toppers point, top batters in the league receive 1.5, top players in the league receive 1.7 and top overall players receive 2.0. However, postseason Box-Toppers points are not counted in regular season Box-Toppers totals.

` Denotes that the pitcher had a no-decision in the game and did not pick up a win or a save.

Cardinals-Red Sox World Series features two highly ranked, evenly matched teams

Box-Toppers world series preview.png

The 2013 World Series between the St. Louis Cardinals and the Boston Red Sox features two highly ranked and evenly matched teams. 

The Cardinals are ranked third in Box-Toppers Power Rankings with 122.4 Box-Toppers points. The Red Sox are close behind in fourth, with 121.7. So only 0.7 points separate them, which is less than one Box-Toppers Player of the Game honor (worth 1.0 point). 

Both teams also tied with the best regular-season winning percentage in baseball (.599, both with 97 wins). Both teams knocked off teams just ahead of them in Box-Toppers Power Rankings in their respective league championship series, both in six games. The Cardinals beat the second-ranked Dodgers (122.7 Box-Toppers points) and the Red Sox beat the top-ranked Tigers (123.4).

The best-of-seven World Series begins Wednesday in Boston. 

Below are position-by-position match-ups of each player likely in the starting line-up for both teams (we have taken the liberty of inserting Cardinals first baseman Allen Craig into the designated hitter spot), along with the four most likely starting pitchers, the team's top closer and an extra pitcher. Also listed are each player's Box-Toppers points earned in 2013, along with their overall rank among players for the season.

If you simply add together the Box-Toppers points of these 15 key players from each team, the Cardinals have 109 points and the Red Sox 96.2.

If you compare them position-by-position, the Red Sox have more players with higher Box-Toppers points totals. The Red Sox have the edge in eight positions, the Cardinals in seven.

The Red Sox batters tend to have better Box-Toppers points totals than Cardinals batters. Comparing position-by-position, the Red Sox batters beat Cardinals batters in Box-Toppers points by 6-3.

However, the Cardinals tend to have superior pitching when it comes to Box-Toppers points totals, starting with their ace Adam Wainwright, who has 20.2 regular season Box-Toppers points and is ranked second among all players (Clayton Kershaw of the Dodgers ranks first). Three Cardinals pitchers rank in the top 20 in Box-Toppers points for the season—Wainwright, Lance Lynn (16.1 points, ranked 11th) and Shelby Miller (15.4 points, ranked 17th). Interestingly, Miller was not in the rotation for the NLCS, bumped in favor of rookie Michael Wacha, who though he has only 3.0 Box-Toppers points during the regular season, has earned Player of the Game honors for the Cardinals three times already this postseason (twice in the NLCS), more than any other player. 

The Red Sox top player in Box-Toppers rankings is pitcher Jon Lester with 12.7 Box-Toppers points, ranked 34th overall. Red Sox designated hitter David Ortiz has 12.4 Box-Toppers points and is ranked 36th overall, fifth among all AL batters.

The Cardinals were the top-ranked team in Box-Toppers weekly power rankings reports from May 9 to July 25, 11 straight times. They remained top NL team for four more weeks until they were passed by the Dodgers Sept. 5 and remained the second-ranked NL team for the remainder of the season.

The Red Sox were the top-ranked AL team in Box-Toppers points for seven weeks, from May 30 to July 14. They were top overall team in Power Rankings on Aug. 1, but fell back during August. In September through the end of the season, they were consistently the second-ranked AL team in Box-Toppers points, behind the Tigers. 

In regular season games, 2.0 Box-Toppers points are awarded for Player of the Day, 1.7 for top player in the opposite league, 1.5 for top batter in each league and 1.0 for the top player in each of the other games. However, no Box-Toppers points are awarded during the postseason.

World Series player comparisons 

Likely starting players for the Red Sox and Cardinals listed by position with their Box-Toppers point total (BTP) for the 2013 regular season and their overall player rank among all players

 

Red SoxBTPRank CardinalsBTPRank
1BMike Napoli5.0170 Matt Adams5.0198
2BDustin Pedroia3.5286 Matt Carpenter7.5100
SSStephen Drew6.0143 Pete Kozma2.5408
3BXander Bogaerts0.0--* David Freese5.5154
CAJarrod Saltalamacchia4.5228 Yadier Molina4.0253
CFJacob Ellsbury5.5161 Jon Jay5.5162
LFJonny Gomes6.0156 Matt Holliday6.5121
RFShane Victorino4.5224 Carlos Beltran2.5378
DHDavid Ortiz12.436 Allen Craig5.0173
SPJon Lester12.734 Adam Wainwright20.22
SPClay Buchholz11.141 Lance Lynn16.111
SPJake Peavy8.084 Joe Kelly4.0264
SPJohn Lackey6.0148 Michael Wacha3.0361
CPKoji Uehara6.0149 Trevor Rosenthal6.0147
PIFelix Doubront5.0179 Shelby Miller15.417

* Xander Bogaerts, who made his Major League debut Aug. 20, has yet to earn Box-Toppers Player of the Game honors and so has no Box-Toppers points. Players do not appear in Box-Toppers player rankings until they have earned Player of the Game honors at least once in their career. Bogaerts is expected to start in place of Will Middlebrooks, who earned 1.0 Box-Toppers point and is ranked 573rd.

ALCS Preview: Tigers, with 3 best AL players in Box-Toppers rankings, may have slight edge on Red Sox

Box-Toppers playoff preview.png

The American League Championship Series beginning Saturday features Box-Toppers' top-ranked AL teams and Box-Toppers' three best AL players—who all happen to be Detroit Tigers.

The Tigers may have a slight edge over the Boston Red Sox as they prepare to face off in the best-of-seven series beginning in Boston.

The Tigers were No. 1 in Box-Toppers Team Rankings at the close of the season with 123.4 Box-Toppers points. The Red Sox ranked fourth overall (second in the AL) with 121.7 points. However, the Red Sox had the better actual winning percentage (.599 vs. .574), giving them home-field advantage for the series. The Red Sox were tied for the best win-loss record in baseball. The Tigers had the sixth-best record—third in the AL, behind the Red Sox and Athletics.

The Tigers beat the Athletics in the American League Division series, three games to two. The Athletics had 115.3 Box-Toppers points for the season, ranked eighth overall. The Red Sox beat the Rays in their ALDS, three games to one. The Rays had 119.1 Box-Toppers points, ranked fifth.

The Tigers have the top three AL players in Box-Toppers points for the season:

  • Pitcher Max Scherzer has 18.1 Box-Toppers points and is ranked fifth among all Major League players (see the Player Rankings Top 10 list on the home page).
  • Pitcher Anibal Sanchez has 17.1 Box-Toppers points and is ranked seventh among all players.
  • Third baseman Miguel Cabrera has 16.9 Box-Toppers points, leads among all Major League batters and is the only batter in the Player Rankings Top 10, in eighth place overall.

The Red Sox top player in Box-Toppers rankings is pitcher Jon Lester with 12.7 Box-Toppers points, ranked 34th overall. Red Sox designated hitter David Ortiz has 12.4 Box-Toppers points and is ranked 36th overall, fifth among all AL batters.

Below are position-by-position match-ups of each player likely in the starting line-up for both teams, along with the four most likely starting pitchers, the team's top closer and an extra pitcher. Also listed are each player's Box-Toppers points earned in 2013, along with their overall rank among players for the season.

If you simply add together the Box-Toppers points of these 15 key players from each team, the Tigers have 104 points and the Red Sox 97.2.

If you compare them position-by-position, the Tigers also have more players with higher Box-Toppers points totals. The Tigers have the edge in eight positions, the Red Sox in seven.

The Red Sox have more highly ranked batters than the Tigers. In a position-by-position match-up of the starting nine, the Red Sox have Box-Toppers-superior players in six positions, the Tigers in three (though one of the three is at third base, where Miguel Cabrera beats Will Middlebrooks 16.9 Box-Toppers points to 1.0).

The Tigers dominate pitching match-ups in each category except closer, where Red Sox pitcher Koji Uehara has 6.0 Box-Toppers point while Tigers pitcher Joaquin Benoit has 1.0.

Coming Saturday: Here is the pitching match-up for Game 1 of the AL Championship Series:

ALCS Game 1, Tigers at Red Sox

Tigers: Anibal Sanchez, 17.1 Box-Toppers points, ranked seventh overall (see the Top 10 Player ranking list on the home page)

Red Sox: Jon Lester, 12.7 Box-Toppers points, ranked 34th overall

In regular season games, 2.0 Box-Toppers points are awarded for Player of the Day, 1.7 for top player in the opposite league, 1.5 for top batter in each league and 1.0 for the top player in each of the other games. However, no Box-Toppers points are awarded during the postseason.

AL Championship Series player comparisons 

Likely starting players for the Red Sox and Tigers listed by position with their Box-Toppers point total (BTP) for the 2013 regular season and their overall player rank among all players

Red SoxBTPRank TigersBTPRank
1BMike Napoli5.0170 Prince Fielder8.578
2BDustin Pedroia3.5286 Omar Infante4.5221
SSStephen Drew6.0143 Jhonny Peralta3.0347
3BWill Middlebrooks1.0573 Miguel Cabrera16.98
CAJarod Saltalamacchia4.5228 Alex Avila3.0334
CFJacob Ellsbury5.5161 Austin Jackson1.0576
LFJonny Gomes6.0156 Don Kelly0.0885
RFShane Victorino4.5224 Torii Hunter4.0248
DHDavid Ortiz12.436 Victor Martinez4.2235
SPJon Lester12.734 Max Scherzer18.15
SPClay Buchholz11.141 Anibal Sanchez17.17
SPJake Peavy8.084 Justin Verlander10.053
SPJohn Lackey6.0148 Doug Fister6.7113
CPKoji Uehara6.0149 Joaquin Benoit1.0628
PIFelix Doubront5.0179 Rick Porcello6.0139

NLCS Preview: Cardinals-Dodgers features 2 top-ranked NL Box-Toppers teams, top 3 overall players—Kershaw, Wainwright, Greinke

Box-Toppers playoff preview.png

The National League Championship Series beginning Friday features the top two NL teams in Box-Toppers Team Rankings and the top three players in overall Box-Toppers points.

Game 1 of the best-of-seven series between the St. Louis Cardinals and the Los Angeles Dodgers begins in St. Louis. The Dodgers just edged out the Cardinals as top NL team in Box-Toppers points for the season with 122.7 (second place overall, behind the Detroit Tigers). The Cardinals were in second in the NL (third overall) with 122.4. 

The Cardinals had the best actual winning percentage in the NL (.599). The Dodgers were in fourth (.568), behind the Cardinals, Braves and Pirates. 

The Cardinals prevailed over the Pirates in the National League Division Series. The Pirates had 115.6 Box-Toppers points for the season, ranked seventh overall. The Dodgers beat the Braves in their NLDS. The Braves had 111.0 Box-Toppers points, ranked 11th overall. 

The NLCS between the Cardinals and Dodgers features the top three players in Box-Toppers Player Rankings for the season:

  • Dodgers pitcher Clayton Kershaw has 21.7 Box-Toppers points, ranked first in player rankings.
  • Cardinals pitcher Adam Wainwright has 20.2 points, ranked second. 
  • Dodgers pitcher Zack Greinke has 19.4 points, ranked third. 

In addition, Cardinals pitcher Lance Lynn and Shelby Miller are both in the top 10 in Box-Toppers points among NL pitchers. Lynn ranks seventh with 16.1 points and Miller ranks ninth with 15.4. 

Below are position-by-position match-ups of each player likely in the starting line-up for both teams, along with the four most likely starting pitchers, the team's top closer and an extra pitcher. Also listed are each player's Box-Toppers points earned in 2013, along with their overall rank among players for the season.

If you simply add together the Box-Toppers points of these 14 key players from each team, the Cardinals have 103.7 points and the Dodgers 98.7.

If you compare them position-by-position, the Cardinals have more players with higher Box-Toppers points totals. The Cardinals have the edge in seven positions, the Dodgers in six and they tie in one position (both first basemen Matt Adams and Adrian Gonzalez have 5.0 Box-Toppers points).

In general, the Cardinals edge the Dodgers among batters, with more offensive players with higher Box-Toppers points—in fact, Hanley Ramirez is the only Dodger batter with a higher Box-Toppers point total (5.0) than his Cardinals shortstop counterpart Pete Kozma (2.5).

All three likely starting outfielders for the Dodgers have Box-Toppers point totals of 2.0 or less, meaning they were very rarely the key contributor to Dodgers wins. Carl Crawford was Player of the Game twice during the season earning 2.0 Box-Toppers points. Rookie sensation Yasiel Puig was NL Batter of the Day in his second career game June 4, earning 1.5 points, his only points of the season. And Skip Schumaker, though he appeared in 125 games, did not earn Player of the Game honors during the season, earning 0.0 Box-Toppers points.

To be fair, Dodgers pitchers were often the key contributor to the team's wins, with higher Box-Toppers game scores and earning Player of the Game honors. In fact, Dodgers pitchers have a slight edge over the Cardinals, with two of the three top overall players in Box-Toppers points (Kershaw and Greinke). The Dodgers' closer, Kenley Jansen has more Box-Toppers points than Cardinals closer Trevor Rosenthal (9.7 to 6.0).

So: The Dodgers have the overall higher Box-Toppers Team Ranking. The Cardinals have a better winning percentage. The Dodgers have a slight edge in pitching. The Cardinals have a seeming clear edge among batters. The Dodgers have the edge in the pitching match-up in Game 1. The Cardinals have home-field advantage. Baseball's best three players this season (by Box-Toppers measures) will be in action. It promises to be a great series. 

Coming Friday: Here is the pitching match-up for Game 1 of the NL Championship Series:

NLCS Game 1, Dodgers at Cardinals

Dodgers: Zack Greinke, 19.4 Box-Toppers points, ranked third overall (see the Top 10 Player ranking list on the home page)

Cardinals: Joe Kelly, 4.0 Box-Toppers points, ranked 264th overall

In regular season games, 2.0 Box-Toppers points are awarded for Player of the Day, 1.7 for top player in the opposite league, 1.5 for top batter in each league and 1.0 for the top player in each of the other games. However, no Box-Toppers points are awarded during the postseason. 

NL Championship Series player comparisons 

Likely starting players for the Cardinals and Dodgers listed by position with their Box-Toppers point total (BTP) for the 2013 regular season and their overall player rank among all players

CardinalsBTPRank DodgersBTPRank
1BMatt Adams5.0198 Adrian Gonzalez5.0175
2BMatt Carpenter7.5100 Mark Ellis3.5295
SSPete Kozma2.5408 Hanley Ramirez5.0177
3BDavid Freese5.5154 Juan Uribe3.0323
CAYadier Molina4.0253 A.J. Ellis2.5387
CFJon Jay5.5162 Skip Schumaker0.0920
LFMatt Holliday6.5121 Carl Crawford2.0450
RFCarlos Beltran2.5378 Yasiel Puig1.5542
SPAdam Wainwright20.22 Clayton Kershaw21.71
SPLance Lynn16.111 Zack Greinke19.43
SPJoe Kelly4.0264 Hyun-Jin Ryu9.761
SPMichael Wacha3.0361 Ricky Nolasco9.760
CPTrevor Rosenthal6.0147 Kenley Jansen9.759
PIShelby Miller15.417 Chris Capuano6.0134